The Signals Are All Pointing In The Same Direction: Victor Davis Hanson

𝗩𝗗𝗛: 𝗧𝗛𝗘 𝗦𝗜𝗚𝗡𝗔𝗟𝗦 𝗔𝗥𝗘 𝗔𝗟𝗟 𝗣𝗢𝗜𝗡𝗧𝗜𝗡𝗚 𝗧𝗛𝗘 𝗦𝗔𝗠𝗘 𝗗𝗜𝗥𝗘𝗖𝗧𝗜𝗢𝗡.

Victor Davis Hanson has spent fifty years studying how wars end. When he says the tide is turning, it’s worth listening to why.

His argument isn’t based on what the Pentagon is saying. It’s based on how everyone else is behaving.

𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗘𝘂𝗿𝗼𝗽𝗲𝗮𝗻𝘀. VDH’s rule: Europeans never agree to go anywhere near a conflict unless they think the winning side has already been determined. They didn’t help in the early days. Now they’re starting to move. That movement is not idealism. It’s a calculation. They’ve looked at the battlefield and decided which way this ends.

𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗚𝘂𝗹𝗳 𝗽𝗲𝘁𝗿𝗼-𝗻𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻𝘀. The Saudis, the Emiratis, the Qataris — these governments have survived for generations by reading the regional climate with precision. When they expel Iranian military attachés, when they intercept Iranian missiles over their own capitals and say nothing about American strikes, when the UAE reaffirms its $1.4 trillion investment commitment to the United States mid-war — they are not making ideological statements. They are placing bets. And they are betting on the United States.

𝗔𝗹 𝗝𝗮𝘇𝗲𝗲𝗿𝗮. This is the one that should stop you cold. Al Jazeera — the Qatari state media network, historically critical of American military action, the network Tucker Carlson and the anti-war right love to cite against Israel — is now calling the U.S. bombing campaign brilliant and effective, and saying it has been underestimated. When the media outlet of a nation that hosts both the largest American air base in the Middle East and a Hamas political office starts praising American military effectiveness, the message is unmistakable: 𝘵𝘩𝘦𝘺 𝘵𝘩𝘪𝘯𝘬 𝘸𝘦’𝘳𝘦 𝘨𝘰𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘵𝘰 𝘸𝘪𝘯.

𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗺𝗶𝗹𝗶𝘁𝗮𝗿𝘆 𝘀𝗶𝗴𝗻𝗮𝗹. A-10 Warthogs and Apache helicopter gunships are now flying strike missions in Iranian airspace at will. VDH’s point: you only deploy those aircraft when there is effectively no air defense left to threaten them. They are slow, low-flying, close-support platforms. Their presence confirms what the Pentagon has been claiming — Iran has no meaningful air defense remaining.

Iran’s strategy now is rope-a-dope. Run out the clock. Wait for American public opinion to shift. Hope the midterms create political pressure on Trump to stop. It is the only play they have left.

VDH’s conclusion: if Trump sees it through — and he believes he will — the regime falls. Not in years. 𝗣𝗿𝗲𝘁𝘁𝘆 𝘀𝗼𝗼𝗻.

𝗪𝗮𝘁𝗰𝗵 𝘄𝗵𝗮𝘁 𝗽𝗲𝗼𝗽𝗹𝗲 𝗱𝗼, 𝗻𝗼𝘁 𝘄𝗵𝗮𝘁 𝘁𝗵𝗲𝘆 𝘀𝗮𝘆. 𝗘𝘃𝗲𝗿𝘆𝗼𝗻𝗲 𝘄𝗶𝘁𝗵 𝘀𝗸𝗶𝗻 𝗶𝗻 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗴𝗮𝗺𝗲 𝗶𝘀 𝗯𝗲𝘁𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗼𝗻 𝗔𝗺𝗲𝗿𝗶𝗰𝗮.

Great points! This guy is very intelligent, I think he is right over the target with his commentary. Rh

Updates and Analysis: MAGA – Iran- Hormuz

Below are a couple of posts of interest to me at least, hope you enjoy them. Both are accredited, and also a repost from Amir Tsarfati. Hormuz must be stabilized to keep the objectives of this military action on track. Extremely high gas prices are most likely the only thing that will derail final and completed objectives. The MIddle East is changing and so also the world pecking order. America is back in dominance, as it should be. God Bless America, and pray for the peace of Jerusalem. Living in truly “Prophetic Times”. Rh

Tucker Carlson’s Failure — Trump’s Knockout

Various interesting polls point to a clear trend:

A. There is no “split” within the MAGA camp — on the contrary, there is an almost Soviet-level consensus around Trump and his decision to strike Iran.

B. The war in Iran is not hurting Republicans ahead of the midterm elections — it is actually strengthening them.

Here are the data (to be detailed in follow-up posts):

1. NBC poll: One hundred percent support among MAGA supporters for Trump. Yes — 100%. This figure was also echoed by CNN.

In other words, two networks highly hostile to Trump present a president who has complete control over his base.

The share of people identifying with MAGA has also grown since the election.

2. Republican poll (New York Post): Who do you identify with — Trump or Carlson and Megyn Kelly?

The result is decisive: Trump 84%, Carlson and Kelly 6%.

It turns out that clicks and Spotify listens do not necessarily translate into real influence among the public.

Ironically, a phenomenon similar to traditional media in recent years is emerging: a loud and vocal minority holds the microphone and claims to speak for a silent majority that actually rejects it.

This frustration is causing Tucker and his circle to lose composure and drift away from the MAGA “mothership” toward the more fringe territories of the far left and pro-jihadist narratives.

The current investigation into Kent’s leaks to Carlson may become the official break between Carlson and the Republican Party.

3. YouGov–Economist poll on the November midterms (the most important issue in U.S. politics):

Since the start of the war, Republicans have narrowed the gap with Democrats in the race for control of the House — from a 7-point Democratic lead in mid-February to just 2 points in mid-March.

Earlier this month, I referenced a Harvard/Harris poll conducted before the war that showed a tie.

Democrats still lead in betting markets and most polls, but the trend is favorable for Republicans.

As noted recently, Republicans have only upside potential — historically, since World War II, only once has a second-term president managed to keep his party’s majority in the House (Clinton and the Democrats in 1998).

If Trump becomes the second, it would be a phenomenal achievement for him and the Republican Party.

4. Finally (not a poll): The major unknown is Vice President J.D. Vance, who is closely tied to Carlson and issued a very lukewarm statement regarding Kent’s resignation.

His public profile during the current war with Iran has been relatively low, and it is not at all certain that he supports the campaign.

Recently, he has lost some ground in the (so far quiet) race between him and Marco Rubio to become Trump’s successor for 2028.

It is far too early to write off Vance’s chances of becoming the Republican nominee in two and a half years, but his political trajectory will likely indicate the direction the Republican Party will take in the coming years.

(Gilad Zwick on X)

Vance is the big loser for now, I just don’t trust him. He came late to the MAGA party. First time he voted republican was for himself in the Ohio senate race. Seems to be a carpetbagger and far too close to the woke right and the Anti-Israel sentiment. Rh

American retaliation – strategic shift

Financial Times reports a major U.S. pivot:

• Air-defense systems and ammunition redirected from Europe to the Middle East

• Focus shifting fully toward confrontation with Iran

On the ground

• Deliveries to Europe – especially Patriot interceptors – expected to be delayed

• Systems already moved from Europe to protect U.S. forces and allies in the region

• U.S. deprioritizing Russia–Ukraine track – signaling full attention on Iran

Europe reacts

• Anger and concern – described as a “disaster”

• Accelerating independence from U.S. arms supply

• France taking its own path – deploying forces to the region

Middle East implications

• Stronger U.S. deterrence posture

• Shortages creating competition for air-defense systems

• Rising risk of escalation with Iran

• Gulf states reassessing alliances

Bottom line

• The Middle East is now Washington’s top priority

• Europe is sidelined

• The global balance is shifting

(Nziv .net)

Final thought, Europe may be the big loser, not supporting the US when they are far more dependent on oil than us. Typical, we save them and they turn their backs on us. Open borders and government overreach has defeated the once great British Empire, they should change their symbol from the lion to a kitty. France is just France, as long as they have their mistresses and their over priced wine, they are good. Rh

United States Military Might

As a member of the Republican Party, more out of the lesser of two evils, I believe in America first.  Up to a point.  I am a Christian conservative who understands that in this world America can’t just stick its head in the sand.  We need a powerful military and we also need to put our finger on the scales of injustice.  I support military action against Iran.  Western democracies and Jimmy Carter in his weakness allowed the radicals to come to power.  Each succeeding President, with exception of Reagan, who had other fish to fry, were also responsible.  

Iran has a large Christian community inside the country, and this uprising was a call for freedom and self determination. President Trump encouraged the demonstrations and now it’s time to act.  I expect it will go as well as the quick intervention in Venezuela.  The world needs a strong hand and a determined vision, whether we like it or not we are the conscience of the world. 

Below is a post from Amir Tsarfati’s Telegram page. Interesting read.  God bless America and I pray for the peace of Jerusalem!

The showdown with Iran is not only about Tehran.

It is a live demonstration.

The massive force buildup – carrier strike groups – bomber rotations – layered missile defenses – sustained logistics air bridges – all serve a broader purpose.

Iran is the operational arena.

China is the strategic audience.

Beijing is watching:

   •   How fast the U.S. can mass power

   •   How long it can sustain deployments

   •   Whether alliances hold under pressure

   •   Whether it can operate in multiple theaters simultaneously

This is deterrence by demonstration.

If Washington can project overwhelming force in the Middle East while maintaining Indo-Pacific readiness, it reinforces American dominance in the 21st century.

The message is not rhetorical. It is kinetic.

And it is being delivered in real time.

‘Ignoring Human Nature’: Using Biblical Reasoning, Rubio Pinpoints Why Globalism Is A Recipe For Disaster – Harbinger’s Daily

One particular statement was truly profound, and its tremendous accuracy stems from being bred out of a Biblical worldview. Discussing the collapse of communism in Germany, Rubio warned that the celebration of this success in the West quickly morphed into an ill-conceived fantasy about the future of nations. This globalist…
— Read on harbingersdaily.com/ignoring-human-nature-using-biblical-reasoning-rubio-pinpoints-why-globalism-is-a-recipe-for-disaster/

Greenland – the hidden continent between the oceans

– Physical facts – a giant of ice

Greenland is the largest island on Earth, covering about 2.1 million square kilometers – roughly 100 times the size of Israel.

Only about 20% of the island is exposed – the rest is buried beneath a massive ice sheet.

Despite its immense size, Greenland is home to only about 56,000 people – making it one of the least populated places on the planet.

– The sovereignty paradox – self-rule under a crown

Formally, Greenland is a self-governing territory within the Kingdom of Denmark.

Denmark is responsible for foreign affairs and defense and provides annual subsidies that constitute a significant portion of the local budget.

Since 2009, aspirations for full independence have grown, with local parties pointing to 2030 as a target year.

– Location is everything – the bridge between North America and Europe

Greenland’s true value lies in its geography.

It sits at the meeting point between the Atlantic Ocean and the Arctic Ocean.

– The United States’ front yard

Geologically, Greenland belongs to North America.

Control of Greenland means control over access to the northern part of the continent.

– The Arctic lock

Greenland forms the central leg of the Greenland–Iceland–UK gap.

This is the critical maritime corridor through which the Russian navy must pass to move from the Arctic into the Atlantic.

– The awakening strategic significance

For decades, Greenland was viewed as a frozen wasteland of limited importance.

Global warming is now melting the ice and exposing two strategic opportunities – dramatically shorter maritime trade routes and access to rare natural resources that were previously unreachable.

– Summary

Greenland is a land of contrasts – vast territory with a tiny population – Danish sovereignty alongside ambitions for independence – and a geographic position that makes it the key to the North Atlantic.

Understanding these fundamentals explains why global powers are willing to engage in diplomatic and economic confrontation to gain a foothold there.

(Strategy and Geopolitic)

What started as a lark, (at least that’s what I thought), is seemingly getting some traction. There is no doubt the strategic importance of not only Greenland, but the whole Article area as well. Look for a compromise, the minerals are worth an untold amount of $$$. Rh

President Trump’s Greenland Strategy 

President Donald Trump has once again jolted the foreign-policy establishment—this time by elevating Greenland from a quiet Arctic outpost into a front-line strategic priority. What many initially dismissed as rhetorical bravado has evolved into a serious geopolitical argument rooted in national security, great-power competition, and resource control.

From Trump’s perspective, Greenland is not about symbolism. It is about leverage.

Greenland’s value begins with geography. Sitting between North America and Europe, the island occupies a commanding position over the Arctic and North Atlantic. The United States already operates Thule Air Base there, a critical node in America’s missile-warning and space-tracking systems.

Trump’s view is blunt: if the United States does not secure Greenland’s future alignment, adversaries will try to exploit it.

New shipping lanes, surveillance routes, and military corridors are opening—routes Russia and China are actively studying. In Trump’s strategic calculus, Greenland is not peripheral; it is central.

Trump frames Greenland as an extension of homeland defense. Ballistic missile trajectories from Eurasia pass over the Arctic. Early-warning systems stationed in Greenland give the U.S. precious minutes in a crisis.

Beyond security, Greenland holds vast deposits of rare earth elements and critical minerals essential for defense systems, electronics, and emerging technologies. Trump views Greenland as part of a broader effort to reduce Western dependence on Chinese-controlled supply chains.

European leaders, particularly Denmark, reject any notion of a transfer of sovereignty, emphasizing Greenlandic self-determination and NATO cooperation. Many U.S. lawmakers also warn that aggressive rhetoric could strain alliances.

Trump’s Greenland strategy reflects a larger truth about his presidency: he thinks in maps, not communiqués. Territory, resources, and positioning matter more to him than diplomatic sensibilities.

Whether Greenland ever changes hands is uncertain. What is clear is that Trump has forced Washington and its allies to confront the Arctic as a serious arena of global competition.  Interestingly China, and Russia have been doing what is called bathymetric surveys.

A bathymetric survey measures and maps the depths and underwater terrain (seafloor, riverbed, lakebed) of water bodies, creating a detailed picture of the submerged landscape with contours and elevations, similar to how land surveys map dry ground. This data is crucial for navigation, flood control, engineering, and environmental studies, using technologies like sonar, GPS, and sometimes drones to capture precise depth and location data.  

What it measures: 

  • Water Depth: Precise measurements from the surface to the bottom. 
  • Underwater Features: Maps features like ridges, canyons, reefs, and man-made structures. 
  • Terrain: Creates contour lines (isobaths) showing the shape and slope of the bottom. 
  • Water Properties: Can include shoreline definition, currents, and wave action. 

My take is simple, it is strategic for the U.S.  What began as a strange comment by Trump on the purchase has now blown into a big “deal”.  No pun intended.  Not sure what will happen, but probably some sort of agreement to increase American forces, and or security.  There is no secret, at least from me, that the European Union can’t be trusted to hold up it’s end of NATO.  At times Trump seems to talk when he shouldn’t, but sometimes he is setting the stage for something bigger.  Rh

We are the free world now’ — Europe declares war on free speech in the US

By Jonathan Turley

December 27, 2025

Source: The Hill

“We are the free world now.” Those words from Raphael Glucksmann, a French socialist member of the European Parliament, captured the pearl-clutching outrage of Europeans after the Trump administration did what no prior administration has ever done — stand up to Europe to defend the freedom of speech.

This week, Secretary of State Marco Rubio barred five figures closely associated with European censorship efforts from traveling to the U.S. This includes Thierry Breton, the former European Union commissioner responsible for digital policy.

In a post on X, Rubio declared that the U.S. “will no longer tolerate these egregious acts of extraterritorial censorship” and will target “leading figures of the global censorship-industrial complex from entering the United States.”

For full article: The Hill

The EU has fallen! The countries that brought the reformation are now bringing another one. The eventual beast system that will one day terrify and attempt a takeover of the world. They have chosen fear and compliance to the Jihadist over freedom. Rh

              Big Brother In Your Pocket

I don’t understand the fascination with AI.  Yeah, I’m old, but still it is hard enough just reading an article online to determine if it is true or not.  Everything I see or read or hear I try to find another source to make sure it’s accurate.  Paranoid isn’t it, or maybe safe.  

President Trump just had major American companies such as NVIDIA, Google, Microsoft, Amazon, Broadcom, and others (including Bill Gates?) at the White house for a meeting.  Trump seems to think, probably true, that AI is the future.  A central priority is ensuring that advanced computer chips are manufactured in the U.S., with massive federal and corporate investment.  That means our tax dollars will be used to enslave us through AI algorithms etc.

Even Melania is in on the push, introducing a new educational program designed to help young people learn and adapt to AI technologies. “I predict AI will represent the single largest growth category in our nation during this administration — and I won’t be surprised if AI becomes known as the greatest engine of progress in the history of the United States of America,” the first lady said Thursday. 

“But as leaders and parents, we must manage AI’s growth responsibly,” she added. “During this primitive stage, it is our duty to treat AI as we would our own children — empowering but with watchful guidance.” Amen to that

It seems the AI phenomenon has become almost an obsession. AI presents opportunities and dangers in equal measure.  We are already hearing of some AI programs beginning to self teach themselves.  That is a problem.  As a Christian I have deep concerns.

Below is an article from Bloomberg about another end of days topic of grave concern, that is coming and will eventually spread around the world.  Living in “Prophetic Times” anyone?

From Bloomberg: Government-led Digital ID Coming?

The UK government is advancing plans for a national digital identity system. The Office for Digital Identities and Attributes is leading a movement to “simplify access to government services” through a universal digital ID credential. 

Inspired by a similar focus in France by Emmanuel Macron, British Prime Minister Keir Starmer told his Cabinet recently that he is “exploring options” around the concept of a digital ID card that would make it harder for illegal immigrants to live and work in the country.

A similar proposal in 2010 was shut down by the UK government after an outcry because of its impact on civil liberties. One UK newspaper describes the program this way:

Under one option, anyone applying for a new job would be required to produce their digital ID to demonstrate that they have the right to live and work in the UK.

Similar provisions could also be introduced for those moving to new accommodation, making a benefit claim or accessing public services.

One of the proposed credentials is known as a “BritCard,” which downloads to a smartphone and verifies a citizen’s right to work and attain housing. Its goal is to reduce undocumented employment.

The EU is also making a similar push, with the European Digital Identity Wallet (EUDI Wallet) on track to roll out in 2026 for every member state. This will enable users to verify their identity, store credentials and use legally binding digital signatures while online.

Several large-scale pilot programs are testing use cases of these wallets for travel between countries as well as payments. Bank partners like Mastercard are partnering on the EUDI Wallet.

Other proposed uses of a digital ID would allow users over 18 to participate in online gambling or access adult content.

Any of these plans could end up being a privacy and security disaster.

What we do need are guarantees that today’s encryption protections would not be weakened with new legislation. That such an ID Wallet system cannot ever be re-purposed for wider user tracking.

Sadly, it looks like we aren’t there yet — and not only in the EU.

While the UK ID Wallet scheme is still very much in progress, digital rights advocates haven’t exactly welcomed the proposal, rebranding it as the “Big Brother in your pocket.”

Digital or otherwise, every step toward government tracking of civilians—including how they spend money—is a step toward the fulfillment of the Antichrist’s buying-and-selling system in Revelation.

Middle East

Iran backs Azerbaijan, sends arms to Armenia

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Iran like Turkey consistently supports Azerbaijan, the fourth Shiite Islamic majority nation in the world, while refraining from roundly condemning Christian Armenia, at a time that the two Caucasian nations are locked in fierce combat over the Nagorno Karabakh enclave. The fighting this week escalated to reciprocal attacks on their major cities.

Iran, whose supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei is an ethnic Azeri, is home to four Azeri-speaking northwestern provinces, to which some separatist extremists refer as “South Azerbaijan.” Encouraging them could spark secessionist movements among Iran’s other minority groups.  So while Iranian officials have voiced support for Azerbaijan’s integrity – Nagorno Karabakh was internationally recognized as part of its territory although the majority of it population are Armenian Christians – they did not echo Azeri lawmakers in Tehran, who this week accused Armenia of forming “an evil Islamophobic trio in the region” with Israel and the United States.
Condemning Armenia as the aggressor would present Tehran with another problem: its clandestine supply of arms to Azerbaijan’s enemy. Video footage of Iranian arms trucks in Karabakh last April evoked strong denials in Tehran as being “utterly false,” after raising hackles in Baku. In the current outbreak, Iran was accused of allowing the transit of Russian arms to Armenia through its East Azerbaijan Province. This prompted another denial. Iran and Armenia are moreover long trade partners, and Tehran looks after important Armenian churches in the Azeri northwest.

Caught in the middle, Tehran has not surprisingly joined US, Russian and French calls for a ceasefire in the hostilities which erupted last month.

Those hostilities intensified this week, Nagorno-Karabakh claimed to have destroyed Azerbaijan’s military airport in Ganja, a city of 300,000 after its own town of Stepanakert was hit by enemy missiles. Both reported heavy casualties including many civilians.

Turkey had no qualms about accusing Armenia of “targeting civilians” in Ganja, after reportedly sending fighters from its Syrian proxy rebel groups to fight for Azerbaijan. Over and above Erdogan’s Islamic leadership pretentions, his stake in the former Soviet republic is substantial, two pipelines run from Baku’s oilfields into Turkey for re-export to Europe. It is also Ankara’s only supplier of gas.https://googleads.g.doubleclick.net/pagead/ads?client=ca-pub-3622156405313063&output=html&h=280&slotname=52a34ab.929a8b4&adk=1044004821&adf=3578372130&w=336&lmt=1601905234&psa=1&guci=2.2.0.0.2.2.0.0&format=336×280&url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.debka.com%2Firan-backs-azerbaijan-sends-arms-to-armenia%2F&flash=0&wgl=1&adsid=ChEI8Ijr-wUQ-tbZpKGypfbzARJMAJDJqXpbieMDWIzjvPzC-uRiHrhLWYA4x3duk91ZRrsnjn2UvO1Loz0jbt5tDj4qtMDvxrw4o_PmPVDr9JRgdNg2eKiqCKSjjMO5eQ&tt_state=W3siaXNzdWVyT3JpZ2luIjoiaHR0cHM6Ly9hZHNlcnZpY2UuZ29vZ2xlLmNvbSIsInN0YXRlIjowfV0.&dt=1601905234468&bpp=7&bdt=69954&idt=9&shv=r20201001&cbv=r20190131&ptt=9&saldr=aa&abxe=1&cookie=ID%3D65f42ee5ff9fdf30%3AT%3D1594140752%3AS%3DALNI_MaO8c5YlgPjOBmiKHDz2L3vLVkJMg&prev_fmts=310×250%2C1140x280%2C0x0&nras=1&correlator=7906383629948&frm=20&pv=2&ga_vid=1252520059.1594140753&ga_sid=1601905165&ga_hid=1271778326&ga_fc=0&iag=0&icsg=2252352258047998&dssz=108&mdo=0&mso=0&u_tz=-240&u_his=6&u_java=0&u_h=768&u_w=1360&u_ah=728&u_aw=1360&u_cd=24&u_nplug=3&u_nmime=4&adx=457&ady=1660&biw=1343&bih=625&scr_x=0&scr_y=1547&eid=20207460%2C21067466%2C21067603&oid=3&pvsid=1296942216651832&pem=151&ref=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.debka.com%2F&rx=0&eae=0&fc=896&brdim=0%2C0%2C0%2C0%2C1360%2C0%2C1360%2C728%2C1360%2C625&vis=1&rsz=%7Co%7CoeE%7C&abl=NS&pfx=0&fu=8192&bc=31&jar=2020-10-04-18&ifi=10&uci=a!a&fsb=1&xpc=Dykj2OFygb&p=https%3A//www.debka.com&dtd=30

Russia is a traditional ally of Armenia and maintains a large military base in that country.

Azerbaijan acknowledged using Israel-made drones in the fighting, with “devastating effect.” According to the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI), Israel sold Azerbaijan some $825 million worth of weapons between 2006 and 2019. Those exports included drones, loitering munitions, anti-tank missiles, and a surface-to-air missile system.

Azerbaijan’s ties with Israel are another factor in Tehran’s preference for a truce in the conflict. Iran certainly does not want to see Israel’s influence taking root near its borders.