Tag: Oil

The Signals Are All Pointing In The Same Direction: Victor Davis Hanson

~ Randy Harris ~ Leave a comment

𝗩𝗗𝗛: 𝗧𝗛𝗘 𝗦𝗜𝗚𝗡𝗔𝗟𝗦 𝗔𝗥𝗘 𝗔𝗟𝗟 𝗣𝗢𝗜𝗡𝗧𝗜𝗡𝗚 𝗧𝗛𝗘 𝗦𝗔𝗠𝗘 𝗗𝗜𝗥𝗘𝗖𝗧𝗜𝗢𝗡.

Victor Davis Hanson has spent fifty years studying how wars end. When he says the tide is turning, it’s worth listening to why.

His argument isn’t based on what the Pentagon is saying. It’s based on how everyone else is behaving.

𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗘𝘂𝗿𝗼𝗽𝗲𝗮𝗻𝘀. VDH’s rule: Europeans never agree to go anywhere near a conflict unless they think the winning side has already been determined. They didn’t help in the early days. Now they’re starting to move. That movement is not idealism. It’s a calculation. They’ve looked at the battlefield and decided which way this ends.

𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗚𝘂𝗹𝗳 𝗽𝗲𝘁𝗿𝗼-𝗻𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻𝘀. The Saudis, the Emiratis, the Qataris — these governments have survived for generations by reading the regional climate with precision. When they expel Iranian military attachés, when they intercept Iranian missiles over their own capitals and say nothing about American strikes, when the UAE reaffirms its $1.4 trillion investment commitment to the United States mid-war — they are not making ideological statements. They are placing bets. And they are betting on the United States.

𝗔𝗹 𝗝𝗮𝘇𝗲𝗲𝗿𝗮. This is the one that should stop you cold. Al Jazeera — the Qatari state media network, historically critical of American military action, the network Tucker Carlson and the anti-war right love to cite against Israel — is now calling the U.S. bombing campaign brilliant and effective, and saying it has been underestimated. When the media outlet of a nation that hosts both the largest American air base in the Middle East and a Hamas political office starts praising American military effectiveness, the message is unmistakable: 𝘵𝘩𝘦𝘺 𝘵𝘩𝘪𝘯𝘬 𝘸𝘦’𝘳𝘦 𝘨𝘰𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘵𝘰 𝘸𝘪𝘯.

𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗺𝗶𝗹𝗶𝘁𝗮𝗿𝘆 𝘀𝗶𝗴𝗻𝗮𝗹. A-10 Warthogs and Apache helicopter gunships are now flying strike missions in Iranian airspace at will. VDH’s point: you only deploy those aircraft when there is effectively no air defense left to threaten them. They are slow, low-flying, close-support platforms. Their presence confirms what the Pentagon has been claiming — Iran has no meaningful air defense remaining.

Iran’s strategy now is rope-a-dope. Run out the clock. Wait for American public opinion to shift. Hope the midterms create political pressure on Trump to stop. It is the only play they have left.

VDH’s conclusion: if Trump sees it through — and he believes he will — the regime falls. Not in years. 𝗣𝗿𝗲𝘁𝘁𝘆 𝘀𝗼𝗼𝗻.

𝗪𝗮𝘁𝗰𝗵 𝘄𝗵𝗮𝘁 𝗽𝗲𝗼𝗽𝗹𝗲 𝗱𝗼, 𝗻𝗼𝘁 𝘄𝗵𝗮𝘁 𝘁𝗵𝗲𝘆 𝘀𝗮𝘆. 𝗘𝘃𝗲𝗿𝘆𝗼𝗻𝗲 𝘄𝗶𝘁𝗵 𝘀𝗸𝗶𝗻 𝗶𝗻 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗴𝗮𝗺𝗲 𝗶𝘀 𝗯𝗲𝘁𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗼𝗻 𝗔𝗺𝗲𝗿𝗶𝗰𝗮.

Great points! This guy is very intelligent, I think he is right over the target with his commentary. Rh

Updates and Analysis: MAGA – Iran- Hormuz

~ Randy Harris ~ Leave a comment

Below are a couple of posts of interest to me at least, hope you enjoy them. Both are accredited, and also a repost from Amir Tsarfati. Hormuz must be stabilized to keep the objectives of this military action on track. Extremely high gas prices are most likely the only thing that will derail final and completed objectives. The MIddle East is changing and so also the world pecking order. America is back in dominance, as it should be. God Bless America, and pray for the peace of Jerusalem. Living in truly “Prophetic Times”. Rh

Tucker Carlson’s Failure — Trump’s Knockout

Various interesting polls point to a clear trend:

A. There is no “split” within the MAGA camp — on the contrary, there is an almost Soviet-level consensus around Trump and his decision to strike Iran.

B. The war in Iran is not hurting Republicans ahead of the midterm elections — it is actually strengthening them.

Here are the data (to be detailed in follow-up posts):

1. NBC poll: One hundred percent support among MAGA supporters for Trump. Yes — 100%. This figure was also echoed by CNN.

In other words, two networks highly hostile to Trump present a president who has complete control over his base.

The share of people identifying with MAGA has also grown since the election.

2. Republican poll (New York Post): Who do you identify with — Trump or Carlson and Megyn Kelly?

The result is decisive: Trump 84%, Carlson and Kelly 6%.

It turns out that clicks and Spotify listens do not necessarily translate into real influence among the public.

Ironically, a phenomenon similar to traditional media in recent years is emerging: a loud and vocal minority holds the microphone and claims to speak for a silent majority that actually rejects it.

This frustration is causing Tucker and his circle to lose composure and drift away from the MAGA “mothership” toward the more fringe territories of the far left and pro-jihadist narratives.

The current investigation into Kent’s leaks to Carlson may become the official break between Carlson and the Republican Party.

3. YouGov–Economist poll on the November midterms (the most important issue in U.S. politics):

Since the start of the war, Republicans have narrowed the gap with Democrats in the race for control of the House — from a 7-point Democratic lead in mid-February to just 2 points in mid-March.

Earlier this month, I referenced a Harvard/Harris poll conducted before the war that showed a tie.

Democrats still lead in betting markets and most polls, but the trend is favorable for Republicans.

As noted recently, Republicans have only upside potential — historically, since World War II, only once has a second-term president managed to keep his party’s majority in the House (Clinton and the Democrats in 1998).

If Trump becomes the second, it would be a phenomenal achievement for him and the Republican Party.

4. Finally (not a poll): The major unknown is Vice President J.D. Vance, who is closely tied to Carlson and issued a very lukewarm statement regarding Kent’s resignation.

His public profile during the current war with Iran has been relatively low, and it is not at all certain that he supports the campaign.

Recently, he has lost some ground in the (so far quiet) race between him and Marco Rubio to become Trump’s successor for 2028.

It is far too early to write off Vance’s chances of becoming the Republican nominee in two and a half years, but his political trajectory will likely indicate the direction the Republican Party will take in the coming years.

(Gilad Zwick on X)

Vance is the big loser for now, I just don’t trust him. He came late to the MAGA party. First time he voted republican was for himself in the Ohio senate race. Seems to be a carpetbagger and far too close to the woke right and the Anti-Israel sentiment. Rh

American retaliation – strategic shift

Financial Times reports a major U.S. pivot:

• Air-defense systems and ammunition redirected from Europe to the Middle East

• Focus shifting fully toward confrontation with Iran

On the ground

• Deliveries to Europe – especially Patriot interceptors – expected to be delayed

• Systems already moved from Europe to protect U.S. forces and allies in the region

• U.S. deprioritizing Russia–Ukraine track – signaling full attention on Iran

Europe reacts

• Anger and concern – described as a “disaster”

• Accelerating independence from U.S. arms supply

• France taking its own path – deploying forces to the region

Middle East implications

• Stronger U.S. deterrence posture

• Shortages creating competition for air-defense systems

• Rising risk of escalation with Iran

• Gulf states reassessing alliances

Bottom line

• The Middle East is now Washington’s top priority

• Europe is sidelined

• The global balance is shifting

(Nziv .net)

Final thought, Europe may be the big loser, not supporting the US when they are far more dependent on oil than us. Typical, we save them and they turn their backs on us. Open borders and government overreach has defeated the once great British Empire, they should change their symbol from the lion to a kitty. France is just France, as long as they have their mistresses and their over priced wine, they are good. Rh

Strait of Hormuz

~ Randy Harris ~ Leave a comment

The balance of power in the Strait of Hormuz is shifting dramatically. Iran, which once believed it controlled this vital waterway with its fast boats, now faces a shocking reality.

The arrival of the amphibious assault ship USS Tripoli at the head of a Marine Expeditionary Unit, including the 31st Reconnaissance Battalion, represents an unprecedented nightmare for the Iranian regime. This elite force of approximately 2,500 troops is moving at maximum speed toward the region, signaling Washington’s shift from airstrikes to a potential “boots on the ground” option.

Known as “Force 911,” these units are not ordinary reinforcements—they are self-contained, integrated forces combining ground combat elements with artillery, amphibious vehicles, fighter jets like F-35s, and attack helicopters, effectively turning the ship into a miniature aircraft carrier operating in the heart of the Strait.

Primary objective: regain control over the Strait of Hormuz from the Revolutionary Guard, which has disrupted global shipping. The number of transiting ships dropped to just 77 in early March, compared to over 1,000 in the previous year.

With this deployment, all military options are on the table: from rapid raids on islands used by the Guard as missile and drone launch points, to full control of strategic sites like Kharg Island, Iran’s economic lifeline and source of roughly 90% of its oil exports.

Missions may also include highly sensitive tasks, such as securing enriched uranium stocks to prevent any “dirty bomb” scenario, or collaborating with the CIA and Mossad to engage opposition groups and build an internal resistance movement to overthrow the regime.

This marks a new phase that goes beyond traditional deterrence, putting Tehran’s influence and the regime’s existence at stake. These special forces could fundamentally shift the balance of power internally and potentially end the regime’s dominance forever.

(The Middle East) copied from Amir Tsarfati

Update:

American retaliation – strategic shift

Financial Times reports a major U.S. pivot:

• Air-defense systems and ammunition redirected from Europe to the Middle East

• Focus shifting fully toward confrontation with Iran

On the ground

• Deliveries to Europe – especially Patriot interceptors – expected to be delayed

• Systems already moved from Europe to protect U.S. forces and allies in the region

• U.S. deprioritizing Russia–Ukraine track – signaling full attention on Iran

Europe reacts

• Anger and concern – described as a “disaster”

• Accelerating independence from U.S. arms supply

• France taking its own path – deploying forces to the region

Middle East implications

• Stronger U.S. deterrence posture

• Shortages creating competition for air-defense systems

• Rising risk of escalation with Iran

• Gulf states reassessing alliances

Bottom line

• The Middle East is now Washington’s top priority

• Europe is sidelined

• The global balance is shifting

(Nziv .net)

US MILITARY SUPERIORITY

~ Randy Harris ~ Leave a comment

BELOW are excerpts from two different scourges as to how the raid to capture Manduro happened. Again not officially confirmed but I do trust one of the sources. If true, it is an example of the technology that is out there for our military. We always see the tech for our armed forces is far ahead of civilian uses. If true it would expose the Russian and or possibly China defense systems that are inadequate. We know how easy Iran’s defense systems were rendered useless last summer during the 12 day war.

This account from a Venezuelan security guard loyal to Nicolás Maduro is absolutely chilling—and it explains a lot about why the tone across Latin America suddenly changed.

Security Guard: On the day of the operation, we didn’t hear anything coming. We were on guard, but suddenly all our radar systems shut down without any explanation. The next thing we saw were drones, a lot of drones, flying over our positions. We didn’t know how to react.

Interviewer: So what happened next? How was the main attack?

Security Guard: After those drones appeared, some helicopters arrived, but there were very few. I think barely eight helicopters. From those helicopters, soldiers came down, but a very small number. Maybe twenty men. But those men were technologically very advanced. They didn’t look like anything we’ve fought against before.

Interviewer: And then the battle began?

Security Guard: Yes, but it was a massacre. We were hundreds, but we had no chance. They were shooting with such precision and speed… it seemed like each soldier was firing 300 rounds per minute. We couldn’t do anything.

Interviewer: And your own weapons? Didn’t they help?

Security Guard: No help at all. Because it wasn’t just the weapons. At one point, they launched something—I don’t know how to describe it… it was like a very intense sound wave. Suddenly I felt like my head was exploding from the inside. We all started bleeding from the nose. Some were vomiting blood. We fell to the ground, unable to move.

Interviewer: And your comrades? Did they manage to resist?

Security Guard: No, not at all. Those twenty men, without a single casualty, killed hundreds of us. We had no way to compete with their technology, with their weapons. I swear, I’ve never seen anything like it. We couldn’t even stand up after that sonic weapon or whatever it was.

Interviewer: So do you think the rest of the region should think twice before confronting the Americans?

Security Guard: Without a doubt. I’m sending a warning to anyone who thinks they can fight the United States. They have no idea what they’re capable of. After what I saw, I never want to be on the other side of that again. They’re not to be messed with.

Interviewer: And now that Trump has said Mexico is on the list, do you think the situation will change in Latin America?

Security Guard: Definitely. Everyone is already talking about this. No one wants to go through what we went through. Now everyone thinks twice. What happened here is going to change a lot of things, not just in Venezuela but throughout the region. Source

Cause and Effect: A Terrifying New World

~ Randy Harris ~ Leave a comment

I am a big believer in “reap what you sow”, it is a law of God if you will. Not only did we get a feckless, inept leader in Washington after the stolen election in 2020, we also got a terrifying new world order. The balance of power in the world has been thrown into chaos. It used to be America with it’s moral and intestinal fortitude was the undisputed leader of the world, free or not. However now evil nations bent on destruction and dominance have emerged.

Just this week China has upped the ante in the Middle East. China just signed a deal with Iran to invest $400 Billion in the next 25 years. China and Iraq recently signed a deal for a $5 Billion deal on development of an oil power plant. $30 Billion to Qatar for natural gas projects. China buys huge amounts of oil from Saudi Arabia. China, Russia, and Iran have just teamed up doing military exercises together. What about Israel?

If what we hear is true Iran is only days away from being nuclear. Israel has vowed not to ever let Israel get nuclear weapons. The Middle East is and always has been a powder keg ready to explode, but with China becoming much more prolific in their dealings there, it may be only a matter of time.

Where is America? We are discussing pronouns and bowing down to the gender police. Cause and effect, a stolen election and a socialist agenda will destroy America and set the world on fire. Yes we are reaping what we have sown!

Epilogue – A weak church and weak Pastors have allowed evil to run amuck and begin the weakening process of a once great nation. God have mercy upon the United States of America. When the righteous reign the people rejoice, but when evil reigns the people groan. Rh

News Breaks Fast in the Middle East

~ Randy Harris ~ Leave a comment

A joint statement of the Israeli foreign, defense and energy ministers:

“The “Karish” rig is a strategic asset of the State of Israel and is intended to extract the energy resources and natural gas in the State of Israel’s Economic Zone and to advance Israel’s green economy.

With its anchoring, the rig is located in Israeli territory, several kilometers south of the area over which negotiations are being conducted between the State of Israel and the Republic of Lebanon, mediated by the United States. The rig will not pump gas from the disputed territory.

The State of Israel prioritizes the protection of its strategic assets, and is prepared to defend them and the security of its infrastructure, all in accordance with its rights.

At the same time, we call on the Republic of Lebanon to accelerate negotiations on the maritime border. Locating gas-based energy sources can greatly assist Lebanon’s economy and its citizens, and it is in the interest of the Republic of Lebanon to advance the dialogue on this matter. We hope that this will occur”.

Behold israel.org. Prophecy and end times events move at break neck speed. Keep your eyes on Israel. They are the center of Bible Prophecy. rh

Is Biden Loving High Gas Prices?

~ Randy Harris ~ Leave a comment

Candidate Biden Promised to ‘End Fossil Fuel’ Dale Hurd CBN News

Biden has made no secret of his goal to end the oil and gas industry. 

In one 2020 campaign appearance, Biden told a young supporter, “I want you to look at my eyes. I guarantee, I guarantee we’re gonna end fossil fuel.”

And during a 2020 debate with Donald Trump, Biden pledged, “No more subsidies for the fossil fuel industry. No more drilling on federal lands. No more drilling, including offshore. No ability for the oil industry to continue to drill, period.”

America Could Again Be Energy Independent If the White House Wanted It

And in just 14 months, America has gone from being energy independent under Donald Trump to a nation dependent on foreign oil, including Russian oil, even though the U.S. still has abundant energy resources.

“We have 250 years’ worth of natural gas,” says Economist Stephen Moore, “We have 500 years’ worth of coal. We have 150 years’ worth of oil. We’re not running out of it. We just need to drill for it, and that’s not happening right now.”

Energy analyst Ben Lieberman at the Competitive Enterprise Institute says, “Not everything that affects the price of gasoline is within a president’s control, but everything that is within President Biden’s control, he’s been doing wrong.”

Lieberman says, “There was also a major multi-agency effort on the part of the Biden Administration to discourage banks from lending to oil and gas companies. That’s important as well. (The oil and gas industry) can’t do these projects unless they can get the financing. And that’s something that the Biden administration has clamped down on.”

Despite White House rhetoric, critics say little is actually being done to bring down prices. Biden’s Transportation Secretary says if you don’t like high gas prices, you should buy a $60,000 electric car.