U.S. and Iran Nuclear Talks

The big event supposedly happened yesterday in Oman.  I say supposedly because they were not, as Trump deliriously told us last week that they would be face to face.  In fact these are indirect talks.  Which might be a blessing since I have no good reason to believe Witkoff can negotiate any deal with Iran.

After the meeting all the major players told us progress was made, (translation-we all showed up), and of course they acknowledged “diplomatic hurdles” and that those hurdles were very “complicated”.  Translation: Iran wants months for these talks to drag on so they can continue to process more nuclear material for a bomb.

Trump also addressed the negotiations while on Air Force One en route to an event in Miami, telling reporters. “It’s going OK.  I don’t want to say too much—nothing matters until it is finalized.  But it’s going OK. I think the Iran situation is looking fairly good.”  

Unfortunately butterfly kisses and positive thinking won’t get a deal done, it will take military action to accomplish ending the nuclear ambitions of Iran.

Pray for peace, but keep your powder dry! Rh

Secret Iran-US talks on Gaza war undermined by Raisi death By MEE correspondent in Tehran

Sources close to the discussions in Oman tell MEE that the delegations spoke about ending Israel’s war and a shared desire for a change in Israeli government

Secret talks between Iran and the United States in Oman were making good progress, but have now been jeopardised by the sudden death of Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi and his foreign minister.

Brett McGurk, US President Joe Biden’s senior Middle East adviser, held indirect negotiations earlier this month with Ali Bagheri Kani, Iran’s point man for negotiations with the West, according to three Iranian sources close to the talks.

The talks took place in Muscat, which hosted secret meetings between Tehran and Washington a decade ago that led to the 2015 JCPOA (joint comprehensive plan of action) nuclear agreement.

They were the first round of discussions between the US and Iran since January.

One source close to the talks, which were first reported by Axios on Friday, told Middle East Eye that discussions between Bagheri Kani and McGurk were progressing well and were close to reaching some sort of agreement.

Bagheri Kani was deputy foreign minister at the time, but following the death of Hossein Amir-Abdollahian in the helicopter crash that killed Raisi on Sunday, he is now acting foreign minister.

The talks focused on three subjects: a shared desire for a change in government in Israel; ending Israel’s war on Gaza; and preventing the conflict from spreading elsewhere in the region.

An analyst close to the Iranian ruling establishment suggested to MEE that the talks also seem to have served as a way of establishing a ceasefire between the US on one side and Iran and its allies on the other.

No talks till after elections

Before the Muscat talks began, McGurk met with Iran’s envoy to the United Nations, Saeid Iravani, according to the sources.

In the meeting, one source said, McGurk quoted Biden as saying: “I will not negotiate with Iran for a nuclear and comprehensive deal until after the US election because the Iranians cannot keep their promises.”

Middle East Eye has asked the US State Department for comment.

Another round of US-Iran talks are not expected soon.

Following Raisi’s death, Iran needs to hold a presidential election within 50 days, and it is unlikely that major foreign policy decisions will be taken during this period of uncertainty. US presidential elections are meanwhile due in November.

“Given this situation, we should expect disruptions and a halt in negotiations with the Americans,” an analyst who previously worked for the ruling establishment told MEE.

“Since both the president and the foreign minister have passed away and an election is due soon, negotiations will likely be delayed until after the election, similar to what happened during the 2021 presidential race when talks were put on hold until after the election.”